This year is going to be interesting, to say the least. While I’ll continue to cover the news as I normally do, I also plan to focus on local New York Congressional races, and hopefully there will be some sort of surprises when it comes to the Senators from New York. Stay tuned, I think we have a wild year ahead of us.
Real Clear Politics’ Sean Trende is predicting a pretty bad year for Democrats. After seeing what just happened in Massachusetts, I dare say anything can happen.
Conclusion
Obviously, a lot could change between now and November. It is still early, and there’s a pretty high error margin on any projection at this point.
But the conditions for the Democrats are not good. When you look at the polling, the conditions on the ground, and the datapoints we have from the races in the past few months, it is hard to avoid the conclusion that the GOP can win the House back. This election presently combines the removal of Presidential coattails that drove 1946 in part with the bad economy that drove 1958 with the overambitious agendas that drove 1966 and 1994. If forecasting elections at this point is like forecasting where a hurricane will run aground – the range becomes narrower as the time of impact draws closer – right now a perfect storm is brewing and a GOP takeover of the House is well within it potentially projected path. The storm may dissipate before it runs aground. But it may also intensify. This could get very ugly for the party in power.
The election of Scott Brown wasn’t the end of the fight, it was just the beginning. Now is not the time to rest. There’s still much work to be done.
Find out what others are saying at memeorandum.
Regarding your previous post, this is why Democrats are not the only ones who will be losing their seats. The economic decline in this country has been decades in the making and since 1980′s we have been in a false prosperity. The taking back of our country will be a long fight, one office at a time, and educating Americans about reality (not that Marxist crap they spew in public schools and universities). Since the 1960′s, the decline in quality education has accelerated at an unbelievable pace. Making education, REAL education, a priority in this country is paramount.
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Funny you should mention our false prosperity. I wrote about that a while ago. I should try to find the link. But I’m so very tired. Thanks for the link. Maybe I can find it tomorrow.
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Soldier – I could not agree more! My husband is a contractor. He builds and fixes things. It’s so hard for him to find competent people. Did you notice John Ratzenburg (apologies if the spelling is off) from Cheers who has been on a mission to revitalize technical schools? All the Dems want everyone to go to college, for what? To create what?
And I love your last quote.
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LC, I agree that we cannot let down on our fight to put good people in office this November. The Dems will appear to have changed and they may even kowtow to a Republican or conservative wish. However, ALWAYS REMEMBER that if the House and Senate remain in the hands of the Dems, the same thing as happened last year WILL HAPPEN ALL OVER AGAIN.
I thoroughly agree with Lisa about the need to reform education and to bring the intelligence and knowledge of the truth to American children again. There is one thing I have always hoped for in education, and that is resurgence of technical education. Over the last 50 years, educators have talked parents into thinking that every child needs to attend a university. Well, what every child needs is to become successful at what he/she is good at and what will make them happy. We desperately need to push apprenticeships and technical education.
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If any conservative begins to feel fainthearted about the fight for getting good people into the House and Senate this year, please mark your Bibles at I Peter 5:8-9. “Be self-controlled and alert. Your enemy the devil prowls around like a roaring lion looking for someone to devour. Resist him, standing firm in the faith, because you know that your brothers throughout the world are undergoing the same kind of sufferings.”
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If they don’t listen to the people, they’ll regret it come November.
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our country needs to lower corporate taxes and relax some of the stringent enviroment rules that have driven them out of the USA. i have read that other nations overseas have done this. we need to get our companies back in the USA and make things for ourselves again and also have our own oil and gas.
vote out the democrats in 2010! when obama had his job summit with ceos, the ceo of disney suggested that america lower its corporate tax to bring back our companies to the USA, obama ignored him.the democrats and their enviromentalist movement want allow us to drill our oil either.
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This really isn’t about Dems or Repubs. It’s about the Constitution. So yes, more than a few incumbent Repubs should be running scared right about now.
Going to college these days lines the pockets of the liberal elite in academia. With the exception of very few institutions, real world skills are no longer taught.
The liberal elite at the H.S. level push their graduates to college. Unless going into the medical field, or becoming a para legal…they seem to have a low regard for Tech schools.
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